Fresh UMD/Nielsen Scarborough Poll on Issues Facing Trump Presidency
The Maryland Critical Issues Poll was conducted from April 12th-17th, 2017 and fielded by Nielsen Scarborough. The poll covers multiple issues ranging from the Trump Presidency to the border wall, the role of Russia in the U.S. election, immigration, and much more. Below please find links to the actual questionnaire, a report on the key findings, and a graphic study of the poll.
(Via Professors Shibley Telhami and Stella Rouse, the director and assistant director of the Critical Issues Poll):
- The Critical Issues Poll finds little evidence of buyer’s remorse among Trump voters. Voters overwhelmingly say that President Trump has done what they expected, and those who voted for Trump say they would likely vote for him again if given the chance. Americans who voted for Trump also accept many of Trump’s claims. These voters want Congress to investigate potential wiretaps of Trump’s office during the campaign, but see less need for Congress to investigate Russian interference in the election. While Trump’s base appears to be sticking with him, the poll shows evidence of remorse among non-voters. Democrats who did not vote especially regret their decision to stay home, but we also see evidence of regret among significant portions of independents and Republicans.
- In an open-ended question, Americans identify President Trump as the leader they ‘dislike’ most among national and world leaders, well ahead of Kim Jong-un and Vladimir Putin. Partly, this is a product of the deep partisan divide, with a majority of Democrats naming Trump, while Republicans name Kim Jong-un. But it is notable that independents also name Trump as their most disliked leader.
- A large majority of Americans, including an overwhelming majority of Democrats said there was Russian interference in the 2016 election, with 69% of Democrats also saying the interference influenced the election outcome. Republicans were nearly evenly divided among themselves on whether or not Russia had interfered. Among Republicans who said there was Russian interference, most said it probably did not alter the outcome. Additionally, while a majority of Americans see Russia as a foe, Republicans are divided with about half saying Moscow is a foe.
- Democrats show renewed enthusiasm and unity in opposition to the Trump agenda. We also find that political independents are opposed to key Trump policy proposals.
- Half of all Americans, including an overwhelming majority of Democrats oppose Trump’s proposed border wall between the U.S. and Mexico. Support is strongest among Republicans, especially those who voted for Trump. Regardless of support or opposition to the wall, only one third of Americans say the wall will actually be built; Among Republicans, 55% say the wall will be built.
- While Americans are polarized on whether President Trump’s proposals will help or hurt the job prospects of minority groups in the country, we find evidence that voters think his policies will do more to help African Americans than Latinos. Voters in these minority groups, however, are generally skeptical that Trump’s policies will be beneficial.
- The Critical Issues Poll reveals a strong correlation between media trust and where people go for news. Individuals who primarily get their news from Fox News or social media exhibit low levels of trust in the media, while those who go to public television, newspapers, or cable news sources beyond Fox News exhibit high levels of trust.
- Despite the deep political divisions in the country, both Democrats and Republicans generally agree that effective checks and balances are critical for maintaining the health of American democracy.